We could be near 80 Tuesday and see low to mid 80s on the weekend, but then the pendulum will swing again. Possible squall-line Wednesday afternoon needs to be monitored for any strong or severe weather.

March was warmer than normal and April is ending up the same but to a lesser degree. In both cases the average has been the result of a lot of up and down wild swings from above average to below and back again. This pattern dates back to December 1st.

The result of the temperature changes from frequent low pressure systems and frontal passages has been +50% above-normal precipitation:

It looks like we will see more for the first half of May at the very least:

NOAA/CPC MAY 03-07:

NOAA/CPC MAY 5-11:

However, I do NOT see these as being very cold temps, just lower than average that comes and goes. No frost or freeze.

Also of note regarding tropical cyclone season. Each of the last five years has seen a tropical storm form BEFORE the official start of hurricane season.

There are signals that could well happen again this year, probably in the second half of May.

For more follow me on Twitter @MellishMeterWSB.