I previously posted my outlook for the coming summer and gave it on the radio.
Here is what the major models show for June-August.
TEMPERATURE DEPARTURE FROM AVERAGE OVER THE 3-MONTH PERIOD:
Clearly the greatest consensus is for the hottest summer weather on average to be over the Western third to half of the country, for our area most models match my outlook derived from analogs: a summer where the 3-4 month temperature average June-September is not far from normal one way or the other.
RAINFALL DEPARTURE FROM AVERAGE OVER THE 3-MONTH SUMMER PERIOD:
The greatest model consensus on precipitation is for a somewhat wet summer in the Central and/or Northern states. Drought is most likely out West.
In our area the verdict is more split between wet and dry, but with a slight lean toward a little above-normal rainfall on average.
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