It is too early to wast too much time trying to zero in on specifics about the Thursday weather threat as far as degree of risk, location and timing.

So speaking just in general terms for now. It looks like the system heading our way for Thursday and Thursday night may be something in-between the last two systems which impacted the region two Sundays in a row.

From this distance it looks like the evening or overnight is favored for anything severe in Metro Atlanta, and it looks like Middle and South Georgia have the higher tornado danger.

Much will depend on how far North the Warm front gets and how widespread the first round of rain and scattered thunderstorms are before the more significant round arrives late that afternoon OR overnight. Cool air kills thunderstorms.

That having been said a lot can and probably will change by the time we get there so stay tuned.

It’s interesting to note that every methodology is on-board with a system and a threat level of one degree or another in some part or parts of the South and East with the next system:

I explained the whys and whats and hows about the pattern we are in this blog post here  if you missed it.

SPC DISCUSION: 

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