Spring to spring back big

The recent chill is fading now as the thermometer roller coaster ride we’ve been on for 6 months now continues.

The thing about unseasonably cool weather this time of year is, that when it breaks down it usually breaks down in a big way so you get a surge of above-normal temperatures.

So you go from cool for the season to almost summer.

It looks like that is about to happen as the jet stream pattern changes yet again from a cool trough over the East and a t ridge out West to the mirror opposite with a ridge over the central and East U.S. and a trough out west with heavy rain and severe weather in-between:

It looks mostly dry the next 7 days. And rainfall the rest of the month looks near-normal to below-normal.

500MB JET STREAM PATTERN FORECAST:

MODEL FORECAST TEMPERATURE DEPARTURE FROM NORMAL:

FORECAST 5-DAY RAINFALL ESTIMATE:

SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK: