One front follows another as old man winter stirs

The 7AM Wednesday Surface Weather analysis chart ABOVE.

A relative “lull” in the rain today, more dry than wet but still a few hit and miss light showers in the region at times as a cold front moves through it stays gloomy.

Heavier and more widespread rain returns overnight and tomorrow diminishing by tomorrow evening. Rainfall amounts today only a tenth of an inch on average. Then tonight and tomorrow additional rainfall of half an inch on average with higher totals in some areas.

1-3 Inches snow/sleet in some of the Georgia Mountains Thursday.

Any snow or sleet tomorrow afternoon or night not expected to be a problem for Metro Atlanta as I write this, but stay tuned and check back for updates in case that changes.

Either way everyone dries out with sunshine returning for Friday and Saturday.

A small chance of rain during the day Sunday but rain more likely at night. Could be heavy again Sunday night and Monday.

FREEZING temperatures Thursday night but I think most roads will dry off before there can be much black ice outside the mountains, but I’ll update tomorrow.

Sunshine returns Friday into Saturday with a HARD FREEZE Friday night.

The active jet stream storm track I’ve talked about in the past couple blogs is still overhead:

RAINFALL AMOUNTS THE LAST 36 HOURS 1-3 INCHES COMMON:

8.5 inches officially at Hartsfield for the Month putting us in a top 10 wettest February as Lake Lanier is close to an all time record high level dating back to the last high in 1964.

MODEL FORECAST SURFACE WEATHER CHART TODAY:

MODEL FORECAST SURFACE WEATHER CHART TONIGHT:

MODEL FORECAST SURFACE WEATHER CHART 7AM THURSDAY:

MODEL FORECAST SURFACE WEATHER CHART 7PM THURSDAY:

ESTIMATED RAINFALL AVERAGE TODAY:

ESTIMATED RAINFALL AVERAGE THURSDAY:

MY SNOW/SLEET MAP:

MOST of the accumulation in the Mountains.

Remember as I've pointed out a million times, those lines are for reference as a guideline only. They are not magic walls in the sky, a normal and expected margin of error would be 23 miles North or South on average of the estimated line. (This is why some people think snow they get was un-forecast and a surprise, no they just didn't understand they were covered by the range zone associated with all snow/ice/rain forecasts anywhere in the world).

BLEND OF MULTIPLE MODELS TEMPERATURE OUTPUT:

Check back for updates to the blog and on-air forecast.

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