“There’s a chill this evening, a hard freeze is coming by the dawn” Lyrics from an old country music song I just made up.
I do remember, “When there came a killing frost...” from the song Wildfire. There is also a book by that title.
The air may be too dry for frost with dew points in the single digits to low teens Monday through Wednesday, that’s worthy of Minnesota and is split-ends and chapped lips weather with a static electricity alert after walking across a carpet. Very low humidity, very dry air that gets even drier when heated indoors.
GFS MODEL FORECAST DEW POINTS:
Actual thermometer lows projected would at least tie for the lowest seen this Fall or Winter, and may end of lower:
MODEL BLEND FORECAST LOWS MONDAY MORNING:
MODEL BLEND FORECAST HIGHS MONDAY:
FORECAST WIND CHILL FACTOR (”FEELS LIKE”):
However, like our previous cold waves the Polar Air Mass is transient so that a warming trend quickly returns temperatures back to normal for this time of year Thursday and 60 could return before the month is done.
Remember that old saying about “Thunder in winter, snow X days later”. Well how is that working out for ya?
I’ve lost track of how many times there has been thunder in all or parts of Metro Atlanta this Fall and winter.
I guess if that old wives tale folklore is right then we are due for multiple snowstorms lol.
*Thus far at least there are none on the table for the Southeast in the foreseeable future.*
As far as history is concerned, JANUARY is by far the month with the most big snow events in Atlanta #1. MARCH is #2, and FEBRUARY is #3 with DECEMBER fourth.
Give up? Well, given the chaos in the weather patterns across the Northern Hemisphere I still would not yet say winter is over with the next mild spell with history telling us it can happen in the two months ahead of us.
That having been said there are presently no concrete signs of it, and I just can’t trust the models beyond 7 days as for many months they have been performing worse than normal beyond that timeframe, and after two false alarms I am just gonna take a pass on any long lasting cold projections.
It only takes one quick buckling of the jet stream to trigger a chain of events that could lead to winter precipitation with little advance notice.
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