The surface weather map ABOVE shows the complex weather system out West that is heading our way this weekend.
So far I’ve not had to change my outlook from the blog I posted back on Monday morning much at all. While anybody anywhere in the metro area could see some sleet (ice pellets) or snow flakes briefly, most of us just get a cold rain and lots of it.
AS OF NOW, the only area where some accumulation is possible is near and north of a line from Carters Lake to Canton to Athens. Heavy sleet and snow is still possible in the Northeast corner of the Georgia mountains.
Obviously this could change so keep checking back for updates on the radio, here in this blog and in my forecast page online.
NE corner of GA snow breaks out Sat night
Far North and East suburbs rain mixes with or changes to sleet (ice pellets) by Sunday
There could be a brief period of INSIGNIFICANT sleet or flurries before sunrise Saturday anywhere, then again Saturday night-Sunday morning, and again at times on Monday.
Soggy soils and strong gusty winds mean a few scattered power outages from trees falling
Routine type flooding of the usual creeks and streams will be likely by late Saturday or Sunday, as well as ponding on roads.
The highest risk of some accumulation of sleet near and North of a line from Ellijay to Athens, give or take 20 miles or so. But as always those lines could shift North OR South in future updates.
Heavy snow is probable in the Northeast corner of Georgia.
The models usually do a poor job with temperatures in “the wedge” (CAD) pattern like this usually being too warm.
The models have been “tinkered with” so forecasters don’t have experience using the new versions, it will take a few years to learn how the new computer model versions perform and how to adjust them.
SATURDAY MORNING WEATHER CHART:
SUNDAY MORNING SURFACE CHART:
MONDAY SURFACE WEATHER CHART:
FLOOD RISK AREAS:
WEEKEND ESTIMATED RAINFALL AVERAGE AMOUNTS:
Sunday-Monday is the MAIN period for any frozen precip accumulation but timing is subject to change of course. Again accumulation is most likely in the mountains with some possible for Hall County and adjacent areas. Details may change.
Too early to predict snow sleet or freezing rain amounts but here are the risk levels as of now:
More specifics coming in future updates.
Here is the National Weather Service Office discussion:
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