The news headline making low pressure and frontal system (mid-latitude cyclone) is advancing our way, but is expected to weaken at least somewhat as it moves through Metro Atlanta, but not enough to eliminate a risk of severe weather:
In fact the Storm Prediction Center has increased the coverage of Risk Level 2 and brought in more Risk Level 3 (enhanced in orange) to the West side as seen above.
Here are some various models output of forecast (SIMULATED) radar projections between 5pm and 10pm...
The best estimate of the PRIMARY WINDOW for damaging thunderstorm winds or an isolated spin-up tornado along the squall line (QLCS) for the METRO ATLANTA AREA is 3pm-10pm give or take a couple hours.
Remember winds will be gusting to 30-40 mph at times even outside of a thunderstorm when it’s dry or just showers and that alone can bring down a weak tree or tree branch.
Even without a tornado thunderstorm winds may gust to 65 MPH in the stronger storms. NOTE: not everyone will get a severe thunderstorm, and some places may not even get a regular thunderstorm just heavy downpours and strong wind gusts.
A Tornado Watch already posted to our West this morning:
SPC SEVERE WEATHER TECHNICAL DISCUSSION:
ESTIMATED RAINFALL NEXT 24 HOURS:
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