Weather

One front follows another as old man winter stirs

The 7AM Wednesday Surface Weather analysis chart ABOVE.

A relative “lull” in the rain today, more dry than wet but still a few hit and miss light showers in the region at times as a cold front moves through it stays gloomy.

Heavier and more widespread rain returns overnight and tomorrow diminishing by tomorrow evening. Rainfall amounts today only a tenth of an inch on average. Then tonight and tomorrow additional rainfall of half an inch on average with higher totals in some areas.

Any snow or sleet tomorrow afternoon or night not expected to be a problem for Metro Atlanta as I write this, but stay tuned and check back for updates in case that changes.

1-3 Inches snow/sleet in some of the Georgia Mountains Thursday.

Either way everyone dries out with sunshine returning for Friday and Saturday.

A small chance of rain during the day Sunday but rain more likely at night. Could be heavy again Sunday night and Monday.

FREEZING temperatures Thursday night but I think most roads will dry off before there can be much black ice outside the mountains, but I’ll update tomorrow.

Sunshine returns Friday into Saturday with a HARD FREEZE Friday night.

The active jet stream storm track I’ve talked about in the past couple blogs is still overhead:

RAINFALL AMOUNTS THE LAST 36 HOURS 1-3 INCHES COMMON:

8.5 inches officially at Hartsfield for the Month putting us in a top 10 wettest February as Lake Lanier is close to an all time record high level dating back to the last high in 1964.

MODEL FORECAST SURFACE WEATHER CHART TODAY:

MODEL FORECAST SURFACE WEATHER CHART TONIGHT:

MODEL FORECAST SURFACE WEATHER CHART 7AM THURSDAY:

MODEL FORECAST SURFACE WEATHER CHART 7PM THURSDAY:

ESTIMATED RAINFALL AVERAGE TODAY:

ESTIMATED RAINFALL AVERAGE THURSDAY:

MY SNOW/SLEET MAP:

MOST of the accumulation in the Mountains.

Remember as I've pointed out a million times, those lines are for reference as a guideline only. They are not magic walls in the sky, a normal and expected margin of error would be 23 miles North or South on average of the estimated line. (This is why some people think snow they get was un-forecast and a surprise, no they just didn't understand they were covered by the range zone associated with all snow/ice/rain forecasts anywhere in the world).

BLEND OF MULTIPLE MODELS TEMPERATURE OUTPUT:

Check back for updates to the blog and on-air forecast.

For more follow me on Twitter @MellishMeterWSB.

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