We stay dry with quiet weather today and tomorrow. Then...
Georgia will be in the squeeze between a cold jet stream trough centered to our West/NW and a warm high pressure ridge in the jet stream centered to our Southeast.
The resulting Southwest to Northeast upper-level wind flow will bring in high dew points of Gulf moisture more like Spring and copious rain amounts, with temperatures running 10-28 degrees above-normal this weekend.
We get a relative lull in rain Sunday with some sun, before it comes back by Sunday evening into much of next week. However, as of now any way, NO all-day constant rain days are seen.
But before all is said and done we may have flooding in parts of Georgia and maybe damaging thunderstorm winds in some areas as well.
It WON’T rain every day but over the next 2-3 weeks precipitation will average above-normal.
By the time the next lasting dry spell arrives parts of the Southeast may pick-up a couple months worth of rain.
SURFACE WEATHER MAP TODAY:
SURFACE WEATHER MAP FRIDAY:
SATURDAY MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON MULTI-MODEL ENSEMBLE:
LATE SATURDAY/SATURDAY EVENING MULTI-MODEL ENSEMBLE:
500MB JET STREAM FLOW PATTERN FRIDAY:
500MB JET STREAM FLOW PATTERN SATURDAY:
5-DAY ESTIMATED RAINFALL:
The cold front trailing from the Midwest-Great Lakes snow and ice storm will produce severe weather in the Southern states with a danger of some tornadoes, centered on the Arklatex, Deep South and Tennessee Valley regions.
A chance of strong thunderstorms in Metro Atlanta Saturday afternoon and night but it’s too early for specifics yet. As of now I am not overly worried.
I’ll focus more on that in the days ahead as needed.
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT SATURDAY-SATURDAY NIGHT:
GFS MODEL ENSEMBLE TEMPERATURE GUIDANCE:
For more follow me on Twitter @MellishMeterWSB.