Downgraded to a tropical depression after going on land, the broad circulation and moisture from Cristobal is expected to drift slowly North over the next 5 days with the center of the storm expected to move onshore somewhere in central or Eastern Louisiana by early Monday morning as a moderate tropical storm. Texas impact minimal, confidence fairly high it will not be a hurricane but could become a strong T.S. for a small area of the La coast. Peak wind forecast around 60 MPH.
But thanks to the broad circulation it will have significant impacts in rain, storm surge, and waves from Eastern Texas to Western Florida along with rip currents. Strong winds and isolated tornadoes can be expected even away from the center of the storm. Overall, it will be rain not wind that will have the greater impact.
The storm is lopsided so the strongest will be on the East or right-hand side of the system, so lesser effects for Texas and more effect on LA, MS, AL, FL.
As the remnants of the system head Northeast it will drag some of its enhanced moisture into our area by Tuesday and Wednesday of next week increasing our cloud cover and chances of showers and thunderstorms.
MONDAY EARLY MORNING:
NHC OFFICIAL TRACK FORECAST:
EUROPEAN MODEL TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND PROBABILITY:
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