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Cold snap comes and goes
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Cold snap comes and goes

Cold snap comes and goes

Cold snap comes and goes

We start the day unseasonably warm and end it unseasonably cold by the time everyone is back home from school and work as seen in 3km NAM model forecast map above.

Temperatures drop 10-15 degrees today to the low 50s by the lunch hour and low 40s before sunset with lows tonight 29-31 and windy at times behind the morning rain showers.

A dip (trough of low pressure) in the jet stream is ushering out the mild air and ushering in another cold snap with temperatures normal to a little below normal returning through the weekend. Sunshine returns in force tomorrow and Thursday but the chance of rain returns by Sunday.

But the jet stream is what we call progressive (troughs and ridges keep moving rather than locking into place) and zonal (largely West to East carrying in mostly mild air from the Pacific and occasional storms from the Pacific Ocean every 3 days or so. This pattern is expected to continue for most of the rest of the month and bodes ill for lovers of a White Christmas or at least fireplace weather. Santa may pack short sleeves. 

Warmer than normal Decembers have been a common feature across much of the country in the 2000s. 

GFS model ensemble 500mb jet stream change between today and Christmas:

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jetnow

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xmasjet

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flake

This WGN graphic shows the result of the jet stream pattern change as we head into Christmas week:

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GFS ENSEMBLE MEAN DECEMBER 25TH SNOW ESTIMATE:

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snaw

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santwx

I got this from a Christmas Shoppe in Asheville while on vacation:

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santwx

GFS ENSEMBLE TEMPERATURE GUIDANCE:

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gfst

It currently looks mild and dry but obviously Christmas is far enough away for the forecast to change one way or another. 

Longer term below-normal temperatures will try to make a come-back after we get into the new year. 

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misers

For more follow me on Twitter @MellishMeterWSB.

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News

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  • On the eve of the impeachment trial of President Donald Trump, the president’s legal team said Monday called the case “flimsy” and a “dangerous perversion of the Constitution,” according to The Associated Press. The brief, which was filed Monday in anticipation of arguments expected this week in the Senate impeachment trial, dismisses the case as a “brazenly political act” by the House of Representatives, The New York Times reported. The legal team also claims in its brief that the “rigged process” should be rejected by the Senate, the newspaper reported. The brief further states that neither of the two articles of impeachment against Trump are valid because they do not state a violation of the law, the Times reported. The 110-page brief from the White House asserts the case was never about finding the truth, the AP reported. 'Instead, House Democrats were determined from the outset to find some way — any way — to corrupt the extraordinary power of impeachment for use as a political tool to overturn the result of the 2016 election and to interfere in the 2020 election,” Trump’s legal team wrote, according to the AP. “All of that is a dangerous perversion of the Constitution that the Senate should swiftly and roundly condemn.” Proceedings in the impeachment trial are scheduled to begin Tuesday.
  • You might know him as Khal Drogo. Others see him as Aquaman. Regardless, actor Jason Momoa brought plenty of smiles to patients and families at UPMC Children’s Hospital in Pittsburgh. Hospital officials said Momoa visited the facility while taking a break filming his Netflix feature in Pittsburgh, WPXI reported. The hospital posted photos on social media of the actor visiting patients at the facility. The Netflix movie, “Sweet Girl,” will begin filming in the fall. Momoa is producing it.
  • That was sew nice. A stray cat in Wisconsin lost her ears to an infection, but now she has some new ones after a woman crocheted her some new ones, WTMJ reported. The cat, named Lady in a Fur Coat, had to have her ear flaps removed according to the Dane County Humane Society. The feline was bought into the Humane Society in December and began treatment for chronic ear infections, spokeswoman Marissa DeGroot told CNN. The cat’s appearance was a little unsettling, so Ash Collins, who works at the Humane Society, decided to crochet Lady an ear bonnet, CNN reported. It took some gentle persuasion and treats, but the cat finally was fitted into her new purple ears. “It’s amazing because we see these strays and medical cases come in and I think we’re always surprised by their resiliency,” DeGroot told CNN. Less than 24 hours after the Humane Society posted the cat’s story on Facebook, Lady was adopted.
  • A New Hampshire man died Sunday night when his snowmobile fell through the ice on the largest lake in Maine, authorities said. Steven K. Allard, 56, of South Hampton, was returning from snowmobiling with his wife on Moosehead Lake when his vehicle broke through the ice on the west side of the lake, the Bangor Daily News reported. Allard’s snowmobile fell into the ice near the mouth of the Moose River, according to Mark Latti, a spokesman for the Maine Department of Inland Fisheries and Wildlife. Allard was pulled from the lake at 10:15 p.m. but he was unresponsive, Latti told the Daily News. Allard was taken to an area hospital, where he was pronounced dead, Latti said. “Snowmobilers need to stay aware of their surroundings and understand that ice conditions can change quickly,” Sgt. Bill Chandler, of the Maine Warden Service, told the Daily News. “This section of the lake, where the Moose River flows into Moosehead Lake, always has poor ice, and that is why there are marked trails on the lake so that snowmobilers can avoid the bad ice in this area.”
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