Changeable into the weekend, cold coming

The chance of rain starts this afternoon but more dry than wet, rain odds rise this evening on and off through Wednesday with mild temperatures, highs in the low 70s afternoons and lows in the 60s. Estimated rain amounts today shown in map above.

Too soon to hone-in on specifics for Halloween but as of now it looks like the day could start mostly dry before a cold front pushes a line of showers and some thunderstorms in for the afternoon, with it tapering off after 8pm give or take a few hours. Daytime highs in the mid 70s with trick or treat temperatures in the 60s and breezy.

Since we are this far out it’s certainly possible that the front slows down or speeds up altering the time-line and intensity of rain Halloween.

I give my forecast everyday all day on 95.5 WSB Radio, streaming and on-demand on the WSB Radio APP.

[DOWNLOAD the WSB Radio App and turn on your severe weather alerts.]

So for those interested in a safe trick or treat plan B, Friday looks safely dry but much colder in the 40s and breezy.

A dry and cold weekend follows with frost possible by Sunday morning if not sooner.

SURFACE WEATHER CHART TUESDAY AFTERNOON:

SURFACE WEATHER CHART WEDNESDAY MORNING:

SURFACE WEATHER CHART WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON:

MODEL SIMULATED FORECAST RADAR THURSDAY HALLOWEEN AFTERNOON:

MODEL FORECAST SIMULATED RADAR HALLOWEEN THURSDAY NIGHT:

3-DAY RAIN TOTAL ESTIMATE:

THE OUTLOOK FOR NOVEMBER:

For next month according to my analogs the outlook is for temperatures to average below-normal with precipitation near-normal to a little below-normal. Not every day or every week this is the 30-day mean:

However, the NOAA/NWS OUTLOOK FOR NOVEMBER DIFFERS:

For more follow me on Twitter @MellishMeterWSB.

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