LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE WITH SIGNIFICANT COASTAL FLOODING EXPECTED ALONG A LARGE PORTION OF THE SOUTHEAST AND MID-ATLANTIC COASTS THE NEXT COUPLE DAYS... TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ON GA/SC COASTS.
Now a CAT 3.
*Keep in mind forecasts for hurricane intensity are historically POOR. So it is not out of the question the storm could end up stronger than currently forecast.
For far South and East Georgia there will be some scattered showers and thunderstorms from the outer rainbands and squalls with the primary impact on the Georgia coast being storm surge flooding more than wind or heavy rain.
Greater and more serious impacts are expected for North and South Carolina beaches as the eye of the storm may brush or barely go over coastal land in South OR at least North Carolina as a Cat 2 hurricane (*note above about intensity) before it moves away from the coast on it’s way past Cape Cod MA to Southeast Canada, by which time it will lose its tropical characteristics and be more like a summertime Nor’Easter.
As I pointed out in past blogs billions of dollars in damage have occurred in the past with storms that did not have the eye do a a direct strike but just raked the coast and that could happen here.
It’s larger than many of our states:
NHC OFFICAL FORECAST:
Tornado Risk in dark green and especially yellow:
HWRF MODEL THURSDAY 8AM:
HWRF MODEL THURSDAY 8PM:
HRWF MODEL 2PM FRIDAY:
ECMWF MODEL 11PM THURSDAY:
ECMWF 11AM FRIDAY:
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