On Air Now

Listen Now

Weather

cloudy-day
46°
Showers
H -° L 38°
  • cloudy-day
    46°
    Current Conditions
    Showers. H -° L 38°
  • rain-day
    Today
    Showers. H -° L 38°
  • cloudy-day
    58°
    Tomorrow
    Partly Cloudy. H 58° L 36°
Listen
Pause
Error

News on-demand

00:00 | 00:00

Listen
Pause
Error

Traffic on-demand

00:00 | 00:00

Listen
Pause
Error

Weather on-demand

00:00 | 00:00

Latest from Kirk Mellish

    Temperatures will moderate from the big chill this weekend, but temperatures will still be cooler than normal for this time of year. However, the return of sun will lift spirits and make it more comfortable for your weekend plans. Christmas shopping? A movie? A certain football game? Drinking heavily and sobbing on the couch? It will be dry this weekend and most of next week looks dry as well with a warming trend back toward normal for this time of year by next Thursday.  That having been said there does not look to be much warm weather the rest of this month or to start next month, on average it will be on the cool side of normal.  It’s way too early for a specific Thanksgiving forecast but early indicators point to a modest rain chance on or near Turkey day with temperatures in the mid 50s for highs with lows in the low to mid 40s. The sub-tropical Southern branch of the jet stream has been active so far this autumn, and if that were to continue this winter it would raise the odds of snow or ice. Something to keep an eye on going forward. For more follow me on Twitter @MellishMeterWSB.
  • What’s a 30 degree temperature drop from one days high temperature to the same time the next day as shown above? (4pm Monday v 4pm Tuesday) Lyrics from the Gordon Lightfoot song the Wreck of the Edmund Fitzgerald come to mind: “...when the gales of November come early...twas the witch of November come stealin...” MOST of the snow or sleet/freezing rain (very little) stays in the far North Georgia mountains.  If you see any sleet (ice pellets) or snow flurries North of Hartsfield this morning don’t panic it won’t last and it won’t matter. (Most of us wont see any). For Metro Atlanta the moisture moves out as the cold air moves in so not worried about any winter precip problems here as the rain ends. The wind and dry air moving in should dry off the pavement before temperatures drop below freezing in the Atlanta area with a hard freeze Wednesday morning as temperatures dip to the January-like 20s near record levels.  8AM MODEL RADAR SIMULATION: 10AM MODEL RADAR SIMULATION: NOON MODEL RADAR SIMULATION: MODEL FORECAST TEMPERATURES 10AM: NOON: 5PM TUESDAY: WEDNESDAY MORNING MODEL LOW TEMPERATURES: The air mass trajectories show the origin of the incoming air started out near the arctic: 75% of the country will have at least a freeze this week: LIVE updates on the changing weather conditions throughout Tuesday morning on 95.5 WSB Radio.  For more follow me on Twitter @MellishMeterWSB.
  • The incoming cold snap would be noteworthy in the dead of winter, so this polar plunge is remarkable for this early in the season. It is hardly unprecedented though so nothing we can’t handle. It is a fairly quick hit and run, in and out. We probably will not break any records locally, but places not far away probably will and lots of records will probably fall in the Midwest, Great Plains and Northeast states. But records will be possible all the way to the Gulf Coast West of here. Since this is dead of winter type polar air WINTERIZE YOUR HOME AND CAR/TRUCK. Turn-off water to the outside of the house and shut down decorative fountains. Temperatures will fall hard and fast after the cold front passes through bringing a decent shot of rain to much of Georgia late tonight into tomorrow morning before the temperature drop. Some brief sleet or snow possible mainly in the Georgia mountains early Tuesday. I’ve been warning you about this pattern change in blogs and on Twitter Since November 4th: It’s not just the actual air temperatures that are impressive but also the geographic coverage of the arctic air mass with only the far West and South Florida spared.  We’re keeping an eye on the tropospheric patterns that can lead to more polar vortex splits and sudden stratospheric warming events in the months ahead that can lead to more cold air invasions after a warm-up. A couple snow periods will come with it for the Midwest, New England and maybe even parts of the Mid-Atlantic states with flurries possible in the Southern Appalachian Mountains (not Atlanta), an inch or more of snow in parts of Tennessee and snow flakes should be seen “in the air” in areas adjacent to TN as well and as far South as Northern Louisiana.  For some areas of the country it could end up being one of the coldest ever November air masses this early in the month. And America will not be alone as much of Asia and parts of Europe will share it.  In ATLANTA during peak winter our normal high temperatures are in the 50s so this will be cold for any time of year with highs and lows below-normal and our first hard freeze coming early in many locales as the first official lows of 28 or lower is on average December 5th, a couple weeks earlier for the North suburbs.  This may naturally have you wondering if this means a cold December? Does this mean a cold winter? Short answer no, at least not necessarily by any means.  Research has shown there is SOME persistence of weather patterns from Fall to Winter and from November to December, but certainly not all the time.  I mentioned an early cold wave is not unprecedented.  Five years ago a similar big Southbound dip in the jet stream brought a big November chill: But December of that year very warm most of the country: What about last year? Did you already forget last November was colder than average?! Top 10 cold in many states just to our West and North. But the December that followed? Warm again.  In the past similar ENSO conditions/sea-surface temperature patterns in the Pacific with similar October weather as we have this year (left panels below) have lead to above-normal temperatures for much of the nation in October with cold out West like this year (right panels below): See the Decembers that followed like conditions in the past: Even without an official El Nino an El Nino-like base state of the background atmosphere response has revealed a tendency in the modern era where even in winters that end up being cold that December is biased above-normal and we’ve seen this in 2014, 2015, 2018. The 15-year or so trend has been for mild canonical El Nino Decembers.  So a betting man would say the odds favor a mild spell to return late November and/or in December after the coming cold. This does not mean December HAS to be warm, as some of the past similar El Nino-like Decembers have featured below-normal temperatures and a couple were quite cold in much of the nation like 1968 and 2009.  That’s the thing about weather: it does not work in a straight line but rather is chaotic which is why predictions are hard.  Here is the correlation between November and Winter: So there is NOT much signal from cold in November in Atlanta and a cold winter to follow, the signal is weakly positive especially if late November is cold not early November.  Dr. Joe D’Aleo did research on what type ENSO patterns had the most month to month volatility and variability this winter looks to be active and changeable (on the higher end of the range this year but NOT quite the highest): It’s way to early for a specific Thanksgiving forecast obviously, so here are some interesting notes: How November plays out and new data not yet in for October may tip the forecast for winter one way or another. I’ll update it as needed by the start of December at the latest.  MY exclusive 5-Day FORECAST is always right here 24/7/365. Bookmark it.  Download the WSB Radio APP for my forecast and my blog plus traffic and news alerts. For more follow me on Twitter @MellishMeterWSB.
  • An important reflection of weather trends is the state of the North Atlantic Oscillation NAO. Forecasters keep an eye on it both summer and winter.  Here in the Southeast it is more impactful in winter than summer.  Oversimplifying, when it is negative there is a tendency for big storms and colder than normal temperatures East of the Mississippi River.  The NAO, on average, has been in a positive phase since 2013 or so, possibly a near-record long period. And most computer models show it being mostly in a positive phase for the coming winter. A warm signal for the Eastern U.S. A positive NAO (among other things) suggests a ridge of high pressure over the Southeastern part of the country, generally suggestive of mild and dry weather more than not.  However, in recent months the NAO has trended to the negative phase. Meanwhile the MJO (Madden Julian Oscillation) in the Pacific has been moving toward a signal indicating high-latitude atmospheric blocking of the jet stream and this sometimes includes a negative NAO/AO which is a cold and sometimes stormy pattern.  While most models show a +NAO for the coming winter the low solar cycle and 11-year sunspot minimum coupled with a declining QBO suggest the opposite sign for the NAO.  Simplistically put it would be the difference between high pressure jet stream ridging in the East and South or more of a trough or dip in the jet stream in the East and South. The first indicative of warm/dry and the the second wet/cold.  Regardless of causation, when the Arctic regions warm and sea ice there is abnormally low the cold air gets displaced South into mid-latitude continental areas resulting in regional cold waves. There is strong unanimity in the global ensemble equations of a ridge over the West Coast (warm/dry) +PNA pattern to go along with the possibility of a -NAO in the coming week or two. Some data is suggesting that on a national basis it could turn into a top 10 cold first half of November since 1950. By the coming weekend for example, the GFS indicates a “wedge” (CAD event) with air mass trace origins from way up North: Not cross polar flow or truly arctic but still. If this happens this winter look out.  We are also observing the rapid advancement of snow coverage over Eurasia and North America. Which research from Judah Cohen has related to below-normal temperatures in winter over the Eastern U.S. and above normal snowfall at least in the Northeast quadrant of the country.  He points out that he’s being tongue in cheek about the cold winter everywhere thing, as in reality it doesn’t work out that way. Judah Cohen Research paper.  As I pointed out in my WINTER OUTLOOK blog, the most recent El Nino and La Nina patterns have behaved abnormally, basically opposite of the norm, suggesting like so many other parameters and trends that we are in a multi decadal regime of extremes one way or the other. Perhaps that means that the lengthy spell of mostly mild winters dating back to about 2011 may come to an end either this winter or next.  A see-saw pattern looking ahead at the jet stream (500mb level 18,000 feet) ECMWF model ensemble: For more follow me on Twitter @MellishMeterWSB.
  • For leaf peepers and apple pickers alike this is a fine weekend to head for the hills.  Set clocks back one-hour Saturday night, good time to change batteries in smoke and carbon monoxide detectors. A whopping 40 degree temperature drop from Thursdays high temperature in the mid 70s to this mornings lows in the low to mid 30s. Cool nights kick the leaf change into high gear. I know even around Kennesaw-Acworth and Woodstock where I travel most, vibrant colors have really shown up over the past week. This weekend will be dry across North and Central Georgia with plenty of sun and a chill in the air for all your apple cider, mulled wine and hot toddy hay ride needs.  The Georgia Department of Natural Resources Leaf Watch reports from the Georgia Mountains: LEAF COLOR FORECAST... This weekend: Next weekend Nov 9: Weekend of November 16th: November 23rd: Most locations did NOT quite reach or drop below freezing this morning, there were a few 31/32 readings in the usual cold spots of Bartow and Cherokee counties etc. Similar or slightly lower temperatures are expected Saturday morning. FREEZE DATES: Use this interactive map to zoom into your neighborhood and click on it for your backyard average first freeze date.  For more follow me on Twitter @MellishMeterWSB.
  • This is MY outlook for the coming winter as it stands now. Changes in data may require adjustments after final info from November becomes available.  I will issue a final winter outlook IF NECESSARY by the start of December.  I showed you in the previous blog on the topic the overwhelming majority of computer models call for a warm winter with a rough split between wet and dry.  I don’t use the models that much but use other techniques for long-range forecasting developed before the computer era. These include teleconnections and analogs. I’ve explained this in great detail many times over the past decade or so.  Over-simplifying, there are key spots around the worlds oceans that have been found to be signals to the weather weeks and months in advance as far as average jet stream and weather. There are also a number of indices that have been developed that show correlations to the weather weeks and months ahead.   So this method looks at all of those and matches the current ones to the closet past examples from history. Then a composite of that past weather history is used to project the future with the idea that what is past is prologue. Weather and climate rarely repeat exactly but similar patterns do repeat.  Just keep in mind similar is not equal to the same. As they say on Wall Street, past performance does not guarantee future results.  I pointed out that this year the ENSO (El Nino Southern Oscillation) condition is currently weak and near-neutral and is forecast to remain such through the winter as shown in the first chart above.  A West-Central based weak “Modoki” El Nino is possible. Index forecast from Japan Met Agency: PAST ENSO CLASSIFICATIONS: EL NINO PACIFIC OCEAN REGION 3.4 FORECAST: Since the Pacific Ocean is such a major climate and weather driver when the ENSO is in a neutral or “La Nada” state (neither a clear El Nino NOR a clear La Nina) then other less predictable drivers will end up determining how the winter plays out. This raises the risk of a forecast bust and/or of a highly variable Fall, Winter and Spring pattern.  The Western Tropical Pacific is a crucial source region for the planetary circulation.  The ENSO situation also indicates a higher than normal BUST potential because of what happened last winter and what has been observed ever since. That is, many times the atmosphere and the oceans have been “decoupled”, normally they are coupled so the overlying jet stream behaves on a par with past years with similar Pacific Ocean temperature patterns. But last year and so far this year the correlation has been off. If this continues it will throw off the forecast again. A PARTIAL LIST of things looked at to make a winter outlook: ENSO including SSTA, ONI, MEI, EPO, WPO, NHI, MJO, TNH, QBO, PDO, AMO, AO, NAO, PNA, PMM, TNI, Global AAM, Indian Ocean Dipole IOD, North Pacific “Blob”, SSWE/Blocking indicators, Northern Hemisphere (Eurasia) Snow Cover advance, Arctic ice anomaly, Solar Cycle (Sunspots), Volcanic activity-atmospheric aerosol levels,  multi-decade trends and persistence of recent winters (base state), hurricane season, summer and autumn weather, Fall storm tracks, climate trends, and more.  Of course these are in a constant state of flux so they can end up behaving differently from expectation thus leading to a wrong forecast. We forecast based off where and how these things line up NOW, but they can and do change on us. For example, autumn storms can disrupt the current sea-surface temperatures and alter current expectations.  Long-range seasonal forecasting is still in its infancy compared to daily forecasting, thus a forecast for a month or more in advance has been shown scientifically to be BETTER than guessing but not by that much. I am not going to run-down all the factors in the interest of brevity, but I’ll show you a couple things being looked at for this winter. One example is a warm NE Pacific nick-named “The Blob” (by a researcher at the University of Washington): What winter jet stream pattern averaged that winter: Resulting average winter that year 2014: THIS YEAR: Oceanic SSTA teleconnections (warm and cold pools) WxBell/Weathermodels graphics: The previous SOLAR MINIMUM occurred in December of 2008, the last SOLAR MAX occurred in April of 2014. SOLAR CYCLE DATA: SILSO data/graphics Royal Observatory of Belgium, Brussels.  We had low solar in 2008/09 and last winter  2018-19 and yet two of the three winters were warm in much of the country. There is not a one to one correlation as many mistakenly believe.  Next looking at a combination of Westerly +QBO with a near-neutral ENSO and a Solar Minimum this winter: Mid level jet stream heights shown above + = ridge -  = trough (above or below average) and resulting temperature pattern shown below, a combination between these two: On the other hand, IF a La Nina or cool ENSO situation arrises in the months ahead and the QBO stays Westerly (+) the odds for a Southeast ridge and mild winter would increase (WxBell graphics, research by Barnston .et .al): On the other hand if the QBO switches to Easterly or a negative phase then the odds of colder and stormy increase with a trough over much of the Central and East US with blocking ridges in the + red areas: The so-called warm blob, El Nino, PDO and the sun are all interrelated. The global sea-surface temperature anomaly pattern in addition to 2014 has some similarity to 2013 as of now at least.  WINTER 2013: Other past years (analogs) with some semblance to this year on low solar and global SSTAs are 1916, 1917, 1968, 1976, 1977, 1978 and 2004: QBO: The October QBO is Westerly around +7.6 so this winter is currently looking closest to C above as of now.  So you can see, as is typically the case in weather forecasting, there are conflicting/contradictory indicators.  October temperatures last year compared to this year, not too different in the Southeast: The winter that followed mild and wet, last winter: This season I anticipate multiple storm tracks with three primary, most to our North, but with a somewhat active sub-tropical jet stream across the Southern tier of states at times while the main polar jet storm tracks will be across the Midwest/Great Lakes.  To me it looks like main storm track types will be Colorado cyclones (4 corners), Pan Handle hookers, Alberta Clippers, and Miller type B cyclones. The opportunity for Miller A type cyclone tracks does look to be present especially at the back end of winter, mid-January to mid March. WINTER 2019-2020 TEMPERATURE AND PRECIPITATION 3-MONTH AVERAGE DECEMBER-FEBRUARY. TEMPERATURE DEPARTURE FROM NORMAL D-F, FOLLOWED BY MAP OF PRECIPITATION DEPARTURE FROM NORMAL D-F: ANALOG YEARS AND BOTTOM LINE:  1936, 1951, 1955, 1959, 1961, 1969, 1977, 1978, 1979, 1980, 1983, 1993, 1995, 1999, 2002, 2003, 2004, 2005, 2007, 2008, 2012, 2013, 2014, 2017, 2018.  I used the best match analogs to create the composite temperature and precipitation maps above. Of the top 14 analog years 11 had measurable snow, with the average being 1.7 inches. The range was 0 in three years, less than half an inch in three years and a high of 4.6 in one year. So my outlook projects the winter as a whole to have temperatures average near-normal to a bit below-normal with precipitation normal to above-normal (adjusting the analog drier) with snow/ice odds about normal. Remember this is the average for the 3-month period DJF not every day or every week. There is plenty of reason to expect periods of dry weather and warm spells with above-normal temperatures. But it’s certainly possible that when October and November inputs become available the analog list may need to be adjusted colder or warmer. I’ll do that update about December 1st if it looks necessary. HERE is a great explainer of the many factors for those who want to go more in-depth. Explore past GEORGIA SNOW EXTREMES here. 
  • Our Halloween weather is more trick than treat as a strong cold front will sweep through the area kicking out unseasonably warm weather and replacing it with unseasonably cold temperatures. In the transition more showers likely and an isolated strong thunderstorm possible. The last time we had rain on Halloween was four years ago 2015. The worst of the rain and lightning risk come before the heart of the normal PM rush hour and trick or treaters will exchange rain ponchos for a warm jacket or coat. Temperatures will start to tumble after the lunch hour and winds will gust at times to near 30 mph later today and tonight with temperatures dropping to around 50 by by 6pm and 45 by 8pm with a wind chill factor making it feel like around 38.  An isolated severe thunderstorm with damaging wind is not out of the question but the highest risk looks East of Atlanta. But even without a thunderstorm thanks to the soggy soils and our old trees, branches or trees can fall even without a severe storm causing a power outage.  The most widespread rain and thunder will come between roughly 10am and 4pm give or take a couple hours, with most of the rain done by 6pm plus or minus a couple hours.  A FLOOD WATCH remains in effect near and North of a line from Carrolton to Athens. Additional rainfall amounts will average a quarter to half an inch but with isolated one-inch amounts possible. See map above.  The National Weather Service has issued a FREEZE WARNING for all of Metro Atlanta from 11 tonight to 10 tomorrow morning.  By the way I will issue my WINTER OUTLOOK Friday on the radio 95.5 WSB 620, 720 and 820 in the morning.  MODEL ESTIMATED RADAR 10AM: MODEL RADAR ESTIMATE 1PM: MODEL RADAR ESTIMATED 3PM: MODEL ESTIMATED RADAR 6PM: MODEL SIMULATED RADAR ESTIMATE 8PM: MODEL PROJECTED TEMPERATURES... NOON: 5PM: 8PM: 8AM FRIDAY: FREEZE WARNING IN PURPLE: A dry and chilly weekend will follow, temperatures around 10 degrees below-normal, with highs in the 50s to low 60s and lows in the 30s. For more follow me on Twitter @MellishMeterWSB.
  • On and off rain is likely today and tomorrow, 48-hour rainfall amounts 1.5 inches on average with isolated 3-inch totals possible. Some fog and thunder/lightning in some areas along the way as well.  The risk of a thunderstorm with damaging winds is not zero but the risk level is low, a category 1 out of 5. If you want to play trick or treat safe Friday will be dry but the trade-off is colder temperatures. However, as I pointed out yesterday Halloween is not all wet, most of the rain and thunder comes before 7pm give or take a couple hours. Also brace for a sharp temperature drop for trick or treating, as the rain diminishes the temperature will fall from a mid-day high in the 70s to around 57 5pm, 52 7pm and 47 9pm with a Wind Chill Factor making it feel around 41 with winds from the NW gusting to 25mph. Low temperatures Friday morning 34-38 with a sunny day and breezy Friday highs only around 58 and lows Friday night 35-38 with some frost possible. The weekend will be without any rain, partly to mostly sunny with very dry air and frost possible at night. Highs around 10 degrees below normal 57-60 lows 34-39 with frost. SEVERE THUNDERSTORM RISK WEDNESDAY/WEDNESDAY NIGHT: SEVERE THUNDERSTORM RISK THURSDAY: FLOODING RISK ZONES WEDNESDAY/WEDNESDAY NIGHT: FORECAST 48-HOUR RAINFALL TOTALS ESTIMATE: NAM MODEL SIMULATED RADAR ESTIMATE HALLOWEEN: 9AM NOON: 3PM: 5PM: 8PM: Do NOT take the above radar forecasts literally for that hour, remember that is just one models virtual reality simulation. Take it as the general idea. LOOK at the temperatures fall off a cliff tomorrow between 2pm and after midnight: MODEL BLEND TEMPERATURE GUIDANCE: For more follow me on Twitter @MellishMeterWSB.  MY first WINTER OUTLOOK will be issued on the radio Friday morning 6-9AM.
  • The chance of rain starts this afternoon but more dry than wet, rain odds rise this evening on and off through Wednesday with mild temperatures, highs in the low 70s afternoons and lows in the 60s. Estimated rain amounts today shown in map above.  Too soon to hone-in on specifics for Halloween but as of now it looks like the day could start mostly dry before a cold front pushes a line of showers and some thunderstorms in for the afternoon, with it tapering off after 8pm give or take a few hours. Daytime highs in the mid 70s with trick or treat temperatures in the 60s and breezy. Since we are this far out it’s certainly possible that the front slows down or speeds up altering the time-line and intensity of rain Halloween.  I give my forecast everyday all day on 95.5 WSB Radio, streaming and on-demand on the WSB Radio APP. So for those interested in a safe trick or treat plan B, Friday looks safely dry but much colder in the 40s and breezy.  A dry and cold weekend follows with frost possible by Sunday morning if not sooner.  SURFACE WEATHER CHART TUESDAY AFTERNOON: SURFACE WEATHER CHART WEDNESDAY MORNING: SURFACE WEATHER CHART WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON: MODEL SIMULATED FORECAST RADAR THURSDAY HALLOWEEN AFTERNOON: MODEL FORECAST SIMULATED RADAR HALLOWEEN THURSDAY NIGHT: 3-DAY RAIN TOTAL ESTIMATE: THE OUTLOOK FOR NOVEMBER: For next month according to my analogs the outlook is for temperatures to average below-normal with precipitation near-normal to a little below-normal. Not every day or every week this is the 30-day mean: However, the NOAA/NWS OUTLOOK FOR NOVEMBER DIFFERS: For more follow me on Twitter @MellishMeterWSB.
  • The Friday surface weather chart is shown above.  Rain chances are high today and tomorrow BUT there are NOT endless days and endless hours of rain in the forecast nor is a week of constant rain being forecast. No complete wash-out days are foreseen as of now. Scattered showers are likely today and tonight but it will not rain constantly and will not be raining everywhere all the time.  Showers will be on the increase as the day goes on diminishing gradually during high school football games tonight, a few scattered showers during the day Saturday with showers increasing Saturday evening with a few showers Sunday morning, mostly dry Sunday afternoon through Monday. There should even be at least some sunshine on Sunday and Monday. Chance of rain is back Tuesday, Wednesday and Thursday Halloween. Trick or treat temperatures look to be in the 50s from this distance with a 40% chance of showers. Obviously a lot can change by then so check back for updates.  In fact, you’ll notice below the models have almost a 10 degree spread on temp outcome for the 31st. The heaviest rain amounts next three days look to be Northwest of the perimeter, especially mountains.  Much of the showers will be light (occasionally moderate) but over the course of the next 48 hours it will add up. RAINFALL TOTAL ESTIMATE BETWEEN FRIDAY MORNING AND 2PM SUNDAY: Moisture feed part of a tropical system in the Gulf of Mexico. High temperatures today split with the ole “wedge” pattern, low 60s far NE suburbs and upper 60s far SW suburbs, lows tonight 59-62. Highs Saturday 70 North 76 South lows at night 56-60. Sunday highs 70-72 with lows at night around 52. So the bottom line is a chance of rain anytime today tonight and tomorrow but the most widespread today 2pm-11pm and the most widespread tomorrow after 5pm give or take a couple hours.  Temperatures AVERAGE above-normal next 5 days: EUROPEAN MODEL ENSEMBLE TEMPERATURE OUTPUT: AMERICAN MODEL ENSEMBLE TEMPERATURE OUTPUT: MULTI MODEL BLEND TEMPERATURE GUIDANCE: Rainfall next 10-days AVERAGES above-normal with active jet stream energy in Southwest to Northeast flow: Thanks to Georgia Department of Natural Resources for leaf information.  Around Kennesaw-Acworth-Woodstock where I travel most, I am finally seeing some great splashes of vibrant color, not widespread but noticeable. COLOR THIS WEEKEND: COLOR NOVEMBER 2ND: COLOR NOVEMBER 9TH: LEAF COLOR NOVEMBER 16TH: For more follow me on Twitter @MellishMeterWSB.
  • Kirk Mellish

    Kirk Mellish is Atlanta's first and only full-time radio meteorologist. He's also the FIRST broadcast meteorologist in Georgia and the Southeast to earn the American Meteorological Society's new Certified Broadcast Meteorologist (CBM) designation. Mellish is THE ONLY meteorologist in Atlanta to be certified by BOTH the AMS and the NWA, National Weather Association. Kirk has more than 30 years of experience in weather forecasting and has won dozens of awards for forecast accuracy and broadcasting excellence.

    You can hear Kirk Mellish and his accurate and dependable weather forecast every six minutes mornings during Atlanta’s Morning News with Scott Slade. AND listen for his exclusive 5-day forecast every morning at :18 and :48 past each hour. Kirk is constantly updating his forecast. You can also hear his weather in the newscast on the hour and half hour as well as :25 and :55 past the hour.

    You can hear Kirk Mellish and his accurate and dependable weather forecast every six minutes mornings during Atlanta’s Morning News with Scott Slade.

    Read More

News

  • In a release, ALDI and Wawona Frozen Foods announced a voluntary recall of Season's Choice Frozen Raspberries and Season's Choice Frozen Berry Medley due to hepatitis A contamination. >> Read more trending news  The affected product codes and sell-by dates can be found here. ALDI removed affected items from stores in Alabama, California, Georgia, Iowa, Illinois,Indiana, North Carolina, New York, Ohio, Pennsylvania, South Carolina and West Virginia. The products were also available for purchase to ALDI customers through the company's partnership with Instacart. No illnesses have been reported due to the hepatitis A contamination and no other products were affected.
  • A 15-year-old girl and a 14-year-old boy died Thursday morning after a classmate opened fire on students at Saugus High School in Santa Clarita, injuring three other students before he attempted to take his own life, sheriff's deputies said. >> Read more trending news  Los Angeles County sheriff's deputies responded to reports of the shooting just after 7:30 a.m. local time. Authorities found six people suffering gunshot wounds in the school's quad. Deputies said the injured included the suspected shooter. The shooter later died Friday afternoon at a hospital with his mother present, according to the Los Angeles County Sheriff’s Department. Update 7:50 p.m. EST Nov. 15: Police say 16-year-old boy who shot five students at his Los Angeles-area high school has died. People who knew the boy described him as a quiet, smart kid who they’d never expect to turn violent. Update 7:30 p.m. EST Nov. 15: Authorities have identified the second student killed in a shooting by a fellow student at a Southern California high school. The Los Angeles County coroner’s office says 14-year-old Dominic Blackwell died Thursday along with 15-year-old Gracie Muehlberger. Two teenage girls remain hospitalized but are expected to be released over the weekend. A third student was treated and released. Update 3:20 p.m. EST Nov. 15: Los Angeles County coroner's officials on Friday identified one of the two teenagers slain Thursday after a student opened fire on classmates at Saugus High School as Gracie Anne Muehlberger, 15, according to The Los Angeles Times. The newspaper reported she celebrated her 15th birthday on Oct. 10. A 14-year-old boy killed in the shooting was not immediately identified, according to KCBS-TV. Update 6:37 a.m. EST Nov. 15: The suspect has been identified by two separate law enforcement sources as Nathaniel Berhow, CNN and the Los Angeles Times reported. The Los Angeles County Sheriff's Department has not confirmed his identity due to his age, CNN reported. Neighbors described Berhow as a good student and typical teenager who was affected by the death of his father in 2017, CNN reported. Neighbors said Berhow found his father dead after had a heart attack, KTTV reported. His mother and father had divorced in 2016, CNN reported. There is no motive for the attack, according to Los Angeles County Sheriff's Office.  Members of the community gathered near the campus Thursday night to remember the victims, KNBC reported. The Associated Press reported the gunman shot whoever was near him and that there was no known connection to the victims. Update 3:10 p.m. EST Nov. 14: Los Angeles County Sheriff's Department Capt. Kent Wegener identified the gunman as a 16-year-old student who opened fire on his classmates on his birthday. Wegener said video from the scene showed the teenager, who was not identified by name, taking a gun out of his backpack in the quad at Saugus High School on Thursday morning. He shot five of his classmates before turning the gun on himself. Sheriff Alex Villanueva told reporters Thursday that the suspect shot himself in the head. He was among six people transported to the hospital after the shooting. Two students died in Thursday's shooting, a girl and a boy. Authorities did not identify the victims by name. Update 2:30 p.m. EST Nov. 14: Authorities in Los Angeles County are holding a news conference Thursday to update the public on Thursday morning's deadly shooting at Saugus High School. Update 1:05 p.m EST Nov. 14: Officials with Henry Mayo Hospital confirmed a female died after being taken to the hospital following a shooting at Saugus High School. It was not immediately clear whether the victim was a student. Hospital officials said three other male victims were taken to the hospital with injuries after shooting. Two of the victims were listed in critical condition while the third was listed in good condition. Update 12:50 p.m. EST Nov. 14: Los Angeles County Sheriff Alex Villanueva said a suspect was in custody after Thursday morning's shooting at Saugus High School. Authorities were expected to provide more details at a news conference scheduled Thursday morning. Update 12:35 p.m. EST Nov. 14: Officials at Henry Mayo Hospital confirmed they had received four patients after a gunman opened fire Thursday at Saugus High School. Hospital officials said the victims included three males and one female. All the victims, aside from one male in good condition, were listed in critical condition in the immediate aftermath of the shooting. Update 12:30 p.m. EST Nov. 14: Parent Brian Skiba told KCBS-TV that his daughter ran into a classroom when she heard shots fired Thursday morning at Saugus High School. 'She heard the shots ... she in the quad, where it started, and ran into the band room,' Skiba told the news station. '(She) locked the door behind her and told everybody to get down.' Skiba told KCBS-TV a police officer was in the band room with about 50 students Thursday. 'I'm still pretty shook up,' Skiba said. Update 12:10 p.m. EST Nov. 14: Sheriff's deputies told KNBC-TV that they were surrounding two locations Thursday morning in Santa Clarita, including a home believed to be the suspect's residence. KTLA reported authorities believe the gunman was a student at Saugus High School. Officials asked residents in the area to stay inside and keep their doors locked as they continued to investigate Thursday. Update 12 p.m. EST Nov. 14: White House Deputy Press Secretary Judd Deere said President Donald Trump was monitoring reports of Thursday morning's shooting in Santa Clarita. 'The White House encourages all those in the area to follow the advice of local law enforcement and first responders,' Deere said. Update 11:50 a.m. EST Nov. 14: Officials with Henry Mayo Hospital in Valencia said two people were taken to the hospital in critical condition after Thursday morning's shooting at Saugus High School. Hospital officials said three other victims were en route to the hospital Thursday morning. Their conditions were not immediately known. Update 11:45 a.m. EST Nov. 14: Deputies asked residents in the area of Saugus High School to lock their doors and shelter in place as they continue to search for a shooter who opened fire Thursday morning at the school. Update 11:30 a.m. EST Nov. 14: Authorities revised down the number of people injured in Thursday morning's shooting from seven to three, according to KNBC-TV. Sheriff's deputies warned the incident was active and ongoing Thursday morning. Original report: Deputies said nearby schools were placed under lockdown as authorities investigated. Officials with the Los Angeles County Fire Department told KNBC that at least seven people were shot. Their conditions were not immediately known. Check back for updates to this developing story.
  • A 9-year-old child prodigy in Belgium is expected to graduate in December with a bachelor’s degree in electrical engineering. >> Read more trending news  Laurent Simons, of Belgium, started studying electrical engineering at Eindhoven University of Technology when he was 8 and will complete a three-year program in 10 months, The New York Times reported. His final project is an electrical chip that is connected to the brain. “Then, I want to study medicine and do a Ph.D. and make artificial organs,” he told The New York Times. He was raised by his grandparents while his parents worked in the Netherlands. They are all doctors. He now lives with his parents. “His grandparents always taught us he’s very special,” father Alexander Simons told The Times. “We thought they were taking him too seriously.” Laurent, who has an IQ of 145, started school at 4 and was in high school at 6 years old.  'Laurent is the fastest student we have ever had here,' Sjoerd Hulshof, the director of education at the university, said in a statement, CNN reported. 'Not only is he hyper intelligent but also a very sympathetic boy.' His instructors rave about his academic abilities. “Laurent’s absorption capacity is very high, which means that everything goes much faster and we can cover a lot more material in a short span of time,” Peter Baltus, a professor at the university and the boy’s mentor, told the Times. “It’s been quite special and enjoyable.” In his off-time, Laurent has interests similar to most kids, playing video games, posting on social media and watching Netflix.  Ultimately, he would like to develop artificial hearts. “My goal as a scientist is life extension,” he told AD, an online publication in the Netherlands. “My grandfather and grandmother are heart patients and I want to help them.”
  • The 19-year-old driver who struck three people, including two children, at a Forsyth County school bus stop now faces numerous charges including DUI.Deputies with the Forsyth County Sheriff’s Department say Christopher Ray Frachiseur may have been under the influence of drugs when he failed to stop for the bus on Buford Highway near Bonnie Brea Road just before 7 a.m. Friday. His Toyota Camry jumped the curb, traveled down the sidewalk and struck the three victims who were waiting at the end of their driveway to board the bus which had its signal arm out.
  • A Philadelphia 14-year-old has been charged with murder in the death of a well-known animal rescuer who was found tied to his bed, naked, and bludgeoned to death last week. The girl is also charged with robbery, possession of an instrument of crime, obstruction and tampering with evidence in the killing of Albert 'Al' Chernoff, according to Philadelphia court records. Her name is being withheld due to her age and the uncertainty of her status as a defendant. Jane Roh, a spokeswoman for the Philadelphia District Attorney's Office, told CNN on Monday that prosecutors had not yet decided whether the girl would be tried as an adult. CBS Philadelphia reported last week that investigators were also looking into whether the girl was a victim of a crime. Her connection to Chernoff and her reason for being at his home were not clear, but the CBS affiliate reported the day after Chernoff was found dead that detectives believed he may have been the victim of an escort who tied him up, robbed him and killed him. Court records show the teen is being held without bail at the Philadelphia Juvenile Justice Services Center. >> Read more trending news  Chernoff, who went by the nickname 'Alley Cat,' was found dead around 3 a.m. Nov. 5 in his home in the Rhawnhurst neighborhood of northeast Philadelphia, according to the Philadelphia Inquirer. He was suffering from a massive head injury and multiple slashes to his chest, the newspaper reported. The 59-year-old previously appeared on the NatGeoTV reality show 'Rescue Ink,' which profiled tattooed bikers working against animal abuse. Police were called to Chernoff's home by a concerned neighbor who requested a welfare check, the newspaper said. Chernoff, who authorities believe was attacked around 10:30 p.m. Nov. 4, was pronounced dead at the scene. Tony Branconi, Chernoff's neighbor in the duplex where he lived and died, told the Daily Mail he called police because he 'heard a racket.' 'I have heard such noises before, but this was in the middle of the night,' Branconi, 70, told the publication. 'It was like he was building something.' He said he went outside and saw Chernoff's car parked in an unusual spot on the driveway. When he looked inside, he saw the vehicle had been ransacked. ‘A very brutal murder' Acting Philadelphia Police Commissioner Christine Coulter said last week that the case is an 'extremely troubling' one. 'It was a very brutal murder,' Coulter said, according to video shot by Fox29 in Philadelphia. Sources told ABC6 that Chernoff was killed with a nail-studded two-by-four, though Coulter declined to identify the weapon used in the crime. 'We're not going to release details about the crime scene itself until we have the evidence that we need,' she said. The commissioner said it was hard to grasp anyone committing such a grisly crime, but that it was even harder to imagine a child being involved. 'But then you have to look to why did this happen, and, you know, that's what the investigators are going to attempt to find out,' Coulter said. Philadelphia detectives trying to identify Chernoff's killer released surveillance footage Nov. 6 from inside the Army veteran's house. The footage showed the suspect, wearing red sweatpants, a black jacket and a pink top, walking through the living room of the home and into the kitchen, where she washed her hands and looked in the fridge and freezer before leaving. Some of Chernoff's 11 cats can be seen in the footage as his suspected killer walks though his living room. Listen to Coulter speak about the crime and see footage from inside Chernoff's home below. Witnesses also reported seeing a young woman leaving Chernoff's house shortly before his body was found, the Inquirer reported. The 14-year-old girl, accompanied by her mother and two defense attorneys, turned herself in to police Nov. 8 after family members saw the footage, CNN reported. Coulter told Fox29 that the girl's family brought her in 'because she was clearly the person on the video.' Once the girl was in custody, police officials removed the footage from their website. On Twitter, at least one person wondered if the footage was removed because the girl was a possible sex trafficking victim. 'Everybody talking about how good of a man Al Chernoff was,' another man tweeted. 'I just want to know why a 14-year-old alleged prostitute was in his home. I'm sorry, but if he was having sex with her, he got exactly what he deserved.' Howard Taylor, one of the girl's lawyers, told CNN the situation was a sad one. 'Troubled girl. There's a reason police aren't saying much,' Taylor told the network. 'There's a lot more to it.' When a reporter asked if the girl was a victim of some kind, Taylor said he 'wouldn't put it to that extent.' He said Chernoff 'wasn't totally innocent, either,' CNN reported. Coulter described Chernoff as a 'guy who went to work every day, well liked by his neighbors and co-workers.' She said Chernoff, who was a building maintenance supervisor at the Philadelphia International Airport, did not appear to have a criminal record. ‘A fierce and tireless advocate' Animal welfare activists in Philadelphia were stunned by Chernoff's death. 'If you help animals in Philadelphia, you've met Al,' Blake Martin of Philadelphia's Animal Care and Control Team told ABC6. 'He is a wild veteran who loves motorcycles and will talk your ear off about his motorcycles and cats.' Chernoff, who was known for building shelters for feral strays in the city, also founded a one-man rescue group, Alley Cat Animal Rescue. 'His generosity was incredible,' Martin said. 'You don't see a lot of that anymore, especially towards the animal community. 'It's been a tough day.' The Facebook page of 'The Cat Rescuers,' a documentary about cat rescue in New York City, described Chernoff as 'one of many amazing rescuers' filmmakers met during filming. The crew met Chernoff during a workshop on 'trap-neuter-return,' a method of managing the stray and feral cat population that Chernoff was known to use. 'He wasn't one of the main four we were following, but we were so taken by his warmth and affability when we encountered him at a (trap-neuter-return) workshop that we just knew we had to put him in our film,' the post read. A brief clip from the documentary shows Chernoff showing off his many cat tattoos. He tells the camera that he had a cat as a child. 'I just was always into cats,' Chernoff says. 'Cats and Harleys and tattoos. That's what I'm into.' Chernoff's Facebook page is filled with photos of his cats, 11 of them, along with photos of his building projects. Motorcycles and military memorabilia are also heavily featured on his page. Last month, he posted a wedding photo of his parents, along with his Army basic training photo, writing that he had just stumbled upon the pictures. Chernoff was not married and had no immediate family left, according to Philadelphia's Jewish Exponent. 'We tried the best we could to keep him family-oriented because he had no parents, he had no siblings and he had no children,' Chernoff's cousin, Beverly Levin, told the Exponent. 'He was with us for Rosh Hashanah just last month. We kept him as close as we could because he was alone in the world.' Since his death, friends in the animal rescue community and beyond have mourned Chernoff on social media. They have also contributed more than $18,000 to a GoFundMe page set up by Levin's son, David Levin, to pay for Chernoff's funeral and provide for more cats to be rescued. 'Al's kids were his cats,' David Levin wrote on the fundraising page. A private donor, along with Chernoff's veteran benefits, have taken care of the cost of his funeral and memorial service, which is scheduled for Nov. 24 in Southampton. All the funds raised by the GoFundMe campaign will be distributed to multiple animal rescues, David Levin wrote in an update. Chernoff's 11 cats, along with three turtles and two frogs, were rescued from his home following his death. Friend and fellow rescuer Gwen Cooper wrote that she was “shocked and saddened beyond the telling of it” to learn of Chernoff’s death. 'Al was a fierce and tireless advocate for rescue cats -- one of the staunchest protectors of cats I've ever known -- and I was honored and privileged to count him among my personal friends in rescue for many years,' Cooper wrote. 'My heart goes out to the people and felines who knew and loved him best.' She said she was certain the 'veritable army of cats' he saved over the years were there to greet him on the 'rainbow bridge' when he died. Chernoff was also active in the Jewish war veterans' community, the Exponent reported. 'He went out of his way many a time for people who suffered what used to be called shell shock and what is now called PTSD (post-traumatic stress disorder),' M.B. Kanis, commander of the Jewish War Veterans Drizin-Weiss Post 215, told the publication. 'He recognized PTSD and knew that people with service animals could become more calm and relaxed and more focused. In the Philadelphia area, I know of at least three service veterans who he helped hands-on (with service animals).' Emily Petry, who described Chernoff as the 'best cat daddy ever,' said he was one of the kindest people she'd ever known. 'Nobody who ever knew you would have ever done you any harm,' Petry wrote. Ashley Foresta, a fellow animal rescuer in Philadelphia, told the Daily Mail she could not imagine why the 14-year-old suspect was in Chernoff's house. Foresta speculated that perhaps Chernoff had hired the girl to clean his home, but Branconi told the Mail he had never seen the girl at the duplex before. 'I just can't imagine for one minute that Al was the type of person who would have had an inappropriate relationship with a 14-year-old girl -- but at the same time I can't think of anyone ever having a reason to kill him,' Foresta said. 'To be honest, maybe part of me doesn't want to know the whole truth,' she said. Chernoff's family and friends weren't the only ones puzzled by his slaying. Coulter said last week that detectives were still piecing together what happened and why. 'Who it is, is identified, but the why and the rationale behind it is what the investigators are now working on,' Coulter told reporters. 'These things take time to get right. 'I know that everybody would like to have everything answered, and so would we, but we want to make sure that we do it in a way that the judicial process plays out fairly and everybody involved gets justice.
  • Lyft is eliminating its scooter operation in Atlanta, nearly a year after the devices were deployed in the city, a spokesperson confirmed Friday in an emailed statement to The Atlanta Journal-Constitution.  The electric scooters will leave the city Nov. 22. The company launched in Atlanta Dec. 21, just two days after rival Uber began its own scooter service in the city.  “We’re grateful to our scooter riders in Atlanta as well as our partners in Atlanta city government,” read the statement. “We look forward to continuing to provide riders with other modes of reliable transportation.” The decision comes amid discussions about Atlanta’s regulation of electric scooters. The city is considering reducing the number of scooter companies operating in the city. RELATED COVERAGE: City of Atlanta fails to collect $200K in scooter impound fees The Lyft spokesperson said they’re focusing on markets that have the biggest impact. The spokesperson also confirmed the company is eliminating services in five other cities, including Dallas, San Antonio and Nashville.  Twenty employees are expected to be laid off as a result of the decision.  Lyft is the latest micromobility company to leave Atlanta. Uber’s electric bikes, JUMP e-bikes, left the city in September.  Like Intown Atlanta News Now on Facebook | Follow us on Twitter In other news: