Long-range outlook for October.
National and Georgia drought update. How much rain is needed to eliminate the long-term drought?
The two long-range forecasts from The Old Farmer's Almanac and the Farmers' Almanac for the coming winter disagree.
Two harsh winters have followed two hot summers, are we in for a third? An official LA NINA ADVISORY has been issued. So far this September has been very unlike last September so signals are mixed for the winter of 2011-2012. This is background for the winter outlook which will come out by December 1st.
Summer 2011 indeed H O T. My long-range forecast for summer in Atlanta issued in late May was good for rainfall/drought, poor for temperatures.
Future of Maria and Nate not set in stone this far in advance, but no threat through the weekend.
Goodbye Lee. Katia near-miss, monitoring Gulf and Caribbean for new tropical threats next couple weeks.
Lee good news bad news for the South, dents drought and heat the hard way, impacts Georgia into Wednesday. Katia could still hit or at least brush near the East Coast from NC to Boston, brushing coastal New England and SE Atlantic Canada Nova Scotia-Newfoundland end of this week into next weekend. Two other tropical threats possible long-term Gulf and East Coat BEYOND Lee and Katia so stay tuned.
Katia and Lee sittin in a tree. Seasons change.
Irene was an historic storm in many ways. The total population affected and the widespread power loss put it at the top of all tropical cyclones to hit the U.S. It's diminished wind despite undiminished low pressure is a meteorological first.
Relief from the long hot summer comes but slowly. No relief from the dryness unless we get a lucky tropical system or two.
Comfortable summers in Atlanta are rare, it's a climate thing. This is Part II of summer temperature analysis for Atlanta.
We are running close to last summer for heat waves this summer, but it's small comfort that it's not even close to being a record hot summer.
What is POP? Probability of precipitation in forecasting parlance. What do those chances mean and what are the odds? Here is a forecast 101 tutorial for "air-mass thundershowers" in the heart of summertime. Although geared toward Georgia it applies in summer across most of the country.
You can keep your cool and save money running the air conditioning at the same time. Meanwhile, where it is wet it tends to stay wet and where it is hot and dry it tends to say hot and dry. Natures positive feedback keeps flood areas wet and dry areas in drought. Wet soils can increase the chance of rain by up to 25%.
It's hot and getting hotter, but Atlanta spared the worst. Commonsense precautions will allow you to get through the brief heat wave just fine.
Tornado season bad to the bone, an update to date.
Summer's worst should be behind us by July 16th if not after this week. Here is what the analog package shows for July and August.
Unusual sun behavior leads to fears of even harsher winters in the years ahead, years without a summer, or even another little ice age. On the other hand, there is no scientific consensus on past or future impacts from solar cycles. There is also a chance if global cooling from the sun is balanced by global warming from man neither will be as extreme as they might have been otherwise. Read the full story.
Hot dry weather in much of the Southern tier of U.S.