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Kirk Mellish's Weather Commentary Archive for February 2012
Blog Entries for Monday, February 27
Mother natures same old song and dance
Will need to monitor thunderstorm intensity Wed., again Friday or Saturday, and again by the 11th give or take a day. One model even suggests accumulating snow in the mountains after the next weekend system March 5th give or take a day. Changeable, volatile, back and forth up and down is the late winter weather pattern and it looks to continue as we end winter and start spring as we march into March. The coming week looks to feature a Black Hills Blizzard with heavy snow extending into the upper Midwest and heavy rain and strong to severe thunderstorms for the corn belt, Mississippi River Valley and parts of the Old South the next 5-15 days. There will be cold spells but the cold is not overwhelming and it can not hold so warmth wins out on average the next 3-weeks. The spring forecast March-April-May is much the same and ...
Blog Entries for Tuesday, February 14
90-day weather outlook
Here are the new maps for February and March and for the Spring months of March through May. Analog years are best matches to La Nina, ocean temperature patterns, solar cycle, and US winter patterns.
Blog Entries for Friday, February 10
Old man winter takes yet another swipe
Old Man Winter does not want to go down without a fight. Looks like a swing and a miss by the Georgia groundhog. Polar plunge will bring arctic air as cold or colder than anything seen so far this winter, and after so many days in the 60s to 70 it will feel all the worse. What's more it will threaten plants budding and blooming early as a result of the mild winter. Have to keep an eye on active weather pattern through Feb 24th or so. **Snow flurries tomorrow morning, if any, will not matter for Metro Atlanta**
Blog Entries for Thursday, February 9
Long range tornado forecasting
A new approach to prediction could eventually allow forecasters to identify portions of states facing high risk for tornadoes in an upcoming month. Scientists have developed a fledgling ability to predict monthly tornado activity in the US up to one month in advance.
Blog Entries for Wednesday, February 8
Atlanta in Dixie tornado alley
In many ways the threat of tornadoes in the Mid-South and Southeast is greater than the traditional "tornado alley" of the Great Plains and Midwest. Read on to learn why. See the tornado tracks in Georgia and adjacent states since 1950.
Blog Entries for Tuesday, February 7
Learning from Alabama tornadoes
There were roughly 3 dozen tornadoes reported in Georgia last year including at least 4 killer twisters.
Blog Entries for Monday, February 6
Severe weather season and tornadoes
This is severe weather awareness week in Georgia. A La Nina spring like this one in the past have been deadly in the nation. The winter headlines in Europe have in the past been a precursor to such cold and snow in the Eastern Third of the US so we have to stay alert that we don't go from mild to wild and from shorts to shivers. Some models suggest this in the Feb. 11-Feb 20 period but others do not.
Blog Entries for Thursday, February 2
Groundhog end of winter and start of spring
Groundhog or not the calendar says 6 more weeks of winter. But it has not been much of a winter so far and there are no solid signs of any long lasting big change, but a few mixed signals do exist.
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