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Kirk Mellish's Weather Commentary

Posted: 10:02 a.m. Friday, July 1, 2011

60-day weather outlook 

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By Kirk Mellish

It looks like a continuation the next two weeks at least, by and large, of what we have experienced in the past week or two of June. The NAEFS (ensemble prediction computer system) shows plenty more heat through the first half of July, and the deterministic models sure show that for the first 7 days of the new month, but nothing too extreme (except on the GFS).

Looking at the rest of the summer, far south Georgia has the worst of the heat and drought, north Georgia including Atlanta more prone to bouts of scattered thunderstorms and the occasional break below 90.

The analog packages still show a "leveling off" and backing down of the mid 90s heat to more normal levels or even slightly below normal when taken as a mean of the next 60 days July and August.

Among the analog years in play are 1917, 1950, 1955, 1974, 2008 and 2009. June was much like 2009, the spring and start of summer much like 2008 in the U.S.

See the maps in the slideshow for details of July and August.

Not the big chill to be sure next 2 weeksNot the big chill to be sure next 2 weeks Credits:  Environment Canada/NAEFS

Slideshow: Summer so far and a look ahead

Southeast stays hot first half of July

Slideshow: Summer so far and a look ahead

Kirk Mellish

About Kirk Mellish

Kirk Mellish is Atlanta's first and only full-time radio meteorologist. He's also the FIRST broadcast meteorologist in Georgia and the Southeast to earn the American Meteorological Society's new Certified Broadcast Meteorologist (CBM) designation.

Send Kirk Mellish an email.