The jet stream flow progs show a more progressive pattern, which means a thermometer roller-coaster ride the rest of the month. The storm system parade continues, with a long train track of energy that could gin up more winter storms for much of the nation, including the south. So there will be more snow or ice opportunities this month into next month before we settle into Spring in April.

But it will take more split-flow jet stream structures and just the right timing of cold and moisture for it to happen, which can be hard to do unless a strong -NAO block returns or the PNA ridge pumps up on weather roids. Details of individual short-waves can not be resolved now, but clearly the book on winter can not be closed yet. The American GFS and the Euro are not that far apart, but as you know I don't jump on every model cycle wiggle.

The next system up looks to pose a snow sleet freezing rain threat to Southeast Texas Northeastward through LA, MS, AL, TN and far GA. This system forms along the stalled baroclinic zone in the Gulf of Mexico then heads up the Appalachian Piedmont and up the East Coast late Thursday into Saturday.

Since the arctic air is shallow and there is a SW flow aloft, the cold air penetration will be less East of the mountains compared to areas west of Atlanta, so odds are tipped toward a cold rain for most of the Peach State.

However, since the storm has not even formed yet details on the intensity, path and precipitation type still need to be worked out. It will be a close call for Atlanta and points north. While I am forecasting rain as the dominant type for metro Atlanta as I write this, keep in mind a 2-5 degree temp error is normal margin of error.