You may recall that I posted back on February 3rd about correlations between moon phases and major weather pattern changes and/or big ticket storm systems. These seem to occur a few days either side of the New Moon and the Full Moon. That pattern has worked out well so far this winter with that Feb 3 post warning about the big ticket event of Feb 12th. The last New Moon Feb 14th saw an historic Southern Snow near it on the 12th and 15-16th cold blast and snow flurries. The next Full Moon is February 28th and the next New Moon is March 15th. Lets see if it works again.

Early modeling says yes and I've already been talking about it for many weeks now. As of this writing it looks like it will be a swing and a miss for Atlanta with any real snow being TN and NC north to New England. However, the Euro says don't take any part of Georgia off the table for this yet. Now this is just one operational run of the model and not a forecast, but if it verifies it implies a snow threat from I-40 to I-10.

It also means don't get used to long dry spells and don't expect warm air to lock in anytime soon as February will end cold. Perhaps that "New Moon" phase of March 15th will be a pattern shift toward spring at last, or will it just be another storm?

This weekend the split flow pattern continues with a zonal flow across the South allowing temps to moderate as a new storm series begins to hit the West Coast in CA. As we head toward next weekend that upper low heads East through Texas and may end up phasing along the East Coast as a Nor-Easter after sparking low pressure in the Southeastern USA. It will be preceded and followed by more polar air.

See slide show here for more at examiner.com