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Kirk Mellish's Weather Commentary Archive for November 2009
Blog Entries for Sunday, November 29
El Nino winter or not?
My 8th blog post of November. I've been busy doing the research for the winter forecast Final Version to be issued on Atlanta's Morning News Tuesday December 1st. I've already posted a lot of background info for you this month on things that are being looked at and considered for ...
Blog Entries for Thursday, November 19
El Nino and the coming winter
Not all El Nino winters are the same because not all El Ninos are created equal and it's not the only thing that affects winter weather patterns. See this link for details. El Nino winters usually but not always
Blog Entries for Tuesday, November 17
Looking back and forward
ECMWF mean 500mb jet stream flow 168-240hr mean ending 11/23 Left panel. Right panel: GFS Penn State University Dept. of Meteorology Not the most typical weather on a nationwide basis since September. The long-range models have on several occasions over the past two weeks suggested a re-alignment of the hemispheric ...
Blog Entries for Thursday, November 12
Snow
I wonder why so many snow lovers live in the South where it rarely happens? It's not like we don't know where we should move if we love it so. Personally I enjoy it enough that I would move if I could, and might be that rare American who retires ...
Blog Entries for Tuesday, November 10
Ida when the winds of November come late
Since 1980 there have been only 6 hurricanes of 100 mph or more (Ida was at one point) in the Gulf or Atlantic basin in the month of November, Ida being number 6th. The last November storm to strike the U.S. was Kate in 1985 it hit the Florida Pan ...
Blog Entries for Thursday, November 5
How wet was it?
PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENTNATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA200 PM EDT WED NOV 4 2009...HISTORICAL RAINFALL FREQUENCY AMOUNTS OCCUR OVER PORTIONS OF NORTH GEORGIA IN SEPTEMBER 2009...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS BEEN REVIEWING THE EXTREME HEAVYRAINFALL THAT OCCURRED IN SEPTEMBER 2009 WHICH CAUSED EPIC FLOODINGIN PORTIONS OF NORTH GEORGIA. NUMEROUS LOCATIONS ...
How wet you say?
PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENTNATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA200 PM EDT WED NOV 4 2009...HISTORICAL RAINFALL FREQUENCY AMOUNTS OCCUR OVER PORTIONS OF NORTH GEORGIA IN SEPTEMBER 2009...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS BEEN REVIEWING THE EXTREME HEAVYRAINFALL THAT OCCURRED IN SEPTEMBER 2009 WHICH CAUSED EPIC FLOODINGIN PORTIONS OF NORTH GEORGIA. NUMEROUS LOCATIONS ...
Blog Entries for Sunday, November 1
Things that make up a long-range winter forecast
Pacific 1) ENSO Cycle (+0.7 to +1.0 C as of 10/12/09): defined as current status of the El Nino Southern Oscillation Cycle as reported by the US Climate Prediction Center in a brief diagnostic discussion as well as the weekly ENSO update.2) PDO Index (positive phase as of 10/8/09): The ...
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