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Kirk Mellish's Weather Commentary

Posted: 2:59 p.m. Wednesday, Feb. 4, 2009

Highest snow threat north of Rome 

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By Kirk Mellish

Now some of the models show a surface low forming on the front I talked about yesterday, the Euro model shows explosive cyclogenesis (bombogenesis) as a strong vorticity max reaches the bottom of the upper level troff (sic) over GA/Carolinas. There could be snow flurries even in Northern Florida with a freeze for the citrus groves. Highest threat for significant accumulation along and North of a Rome to Athens to Augusta line. This is a close call for ATL as to getting more than a dusting. Because of the model mayhem and the "developing overhead" scenario- as opposed to having a system we can track moving into our area- this means it could be an hour to hour minute to minute weather situation with more NOWcasting than FOREcasting. That said, this still does NOT look like the classic set up for significant ATL snow. So if we end up with a couple inches it would be a first of its kind that I know about, which is why I currently expect only 0.4 of an inch OR LESS. But keep your ear on the radio.