Listen live to Atlanta's breaking news, severe weather, & traffic online
Hi, (not you?) | Member Center | Sign Out
Posted: 2:51 p.m. Wednesday, Feb. 4, 2009
By Kirk Mellish
SET CONDITION SQ (storm quotient) 3 ALERT LEVEL 3 pattern is FAVORABLE
but NOT probable... there is NO disagreement in the dozens of computer
models that a major pattern change to dramatically colder is on the way
for the next 10-15 days and more than one model Euro, Canadian,
American hint at a couple of chances for ice or snow in Atlanta. Too
early for specifics but one threat comes Jan 14th give or take a couple
days, and the other Jan 19th give or take a few days. The UPPER LEVEL
winds aloft flow pattern of the Jet Stream is forecast to become
positive for winter weather. In the South it is always best to have
cold air established and firmly in place in order to get ice or snow.
The cases where we need the moisture and cold temps to come together
just in time almost never work out. So step one is getting a polar
front to move through Dixie and stall on the Gulf Coast or in the Gulf
and off the East Coast. Then the upper level troff is positively tilted
over the Center of the country leaning back toward CA and AZ to the MS
River and the energy aloft comes out of that and cyclogenesis occurs
along the baroclinic zone (front) in TX or the Gulf and it sends
overrunning precip over the cold dome to produce winter precip. This is
being shown by many models. But keep in mind with no cold air in place
yet and NO storm in existence this is still in the "pattern
recognition" stage of synoptic meteorology hence no specifics can be
given. It looks like for at least parts of the nation, if not here, the
coldest air mass in a decade to 15 years.
© 2013 Cox Media Group. By using this website,
you accept the terms of our Visitor Agreement and Privacy Policy, and understand your options regarding Ad Choices
.
Already have an account? Sign In
{* #registrationForm *} {* traditionalRegistration_displayName *} {* traditionalRegistration_emailAddress *} {* traditionalRegistration_password *} {* traditionalRegistration_passwordConfirm *}Already have an account? Sign In
{* #registrationFormBlank *} {* registration_firstName *} {* registration_lastName *} {* traditionalRegistration_displayName *} {* traditionalRegistration_emailAddressBlank *} {* registration_birthday *} {* registration_gender *} {* registration_postalZip *} {* traditionalRegistration_passwordBlank *} {* traditionalRegistration_passwordConfirmBlank *} {* agreeToTerms *}We have sent you a confirmation email. Please check your email and click on the link to activate your account.
We look forward to seeing you frequently. Visit us and sign in to update your profile, receive the latest news and keep up to date with mobile alerts.
Don't worry, it happens. We'll send you a link to create a new password.
{* #forgotPasswordForm *} {* forgotPassword_emailAddress *}We have sent you an email with a link to change your password.
We've sent an email with instructions to create a new password. Your existing password has not been changed.
To sign in you must verify your email address. Fill out the form below and we'll send you an email to verify.
{* #resendVerificationForm *} {* resendVerification_emailAddress *}Check your email for a link to verify your email address.


You're Almost Done!
Select a display name and password
{* #socialRegistrationForm *} {* socialRegistration_displayName *} {* socialRegistration_emailAddress *} {* traditionalRegistration_password *} {* traditionalRegistration_passwordConfirm *}Tell us about yourself
{* registration_firstName *} {* registration_lastName *} {* registration_postalZip *} {* registration_birthday *} {* registration_gender *} {* agreeToTerms *}