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Kirk Mellish's Weather Commentary

Posted: 11:03 a.m. Friday, Dec. 4, 2009

Snow still looks more IFY than "sticky" 

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By Kirk Mellish

The models by and large have trended drier, yes there are still some that hint at 1-3 inches of accumulation even for Atlanta but I will continue to emphasize more of a drizzle/flurry scenario (snizzle) for Atlanta with an inch or so possible in the mountains especially grassy areas, rooftops, decks and bushes. So a curiosity of novelty but as for a snow storm it looks like a fizzle.

But remember this is my best assessment of weather trends and model guidance as of now, not weather law. I've seen every model agree and still end up wrong. Mother nature will always have the upper hand on what will happen despite the best efforts of man.

It just looks like a very MARGINAL situation with respect to the proper placement of best moisture and deepest cold air and upper dynamic lifting.  No doubt things could change, and there are dozens of more model runs between now and sunrise tomorrow that could end up showing something different. But with our without flakes in the air or accumulation on the ground anywhere, its so light and brief and "warm event type" that it looks like it wont amount to a hill of beans for most of us.  The media hysteria will accumulate more than any snow.

If things change for the "worse" or the "better" for snow lovers I'll update on the radio.