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Posted: 8:57 p.m. Sunday, Sept. 16, 2012
By Jamie Dupree
With just over seven weeks until Election Day, the campaign for the White House has boiled down to just a handful of states and neither campaign is spending time in other places - unless it is to raise money.
That was the script followed last week by Mitt Romney, who stopped Thursday and Friday in Virginia and Ohio, sandwiching those events with some fund raising in New York.
And that's exactly what President Obama will do this week - he campaigns on Monday in Ohio, raises money on Tuesday in New York, and makes stops later in the week in Florida and Virginia.
When you look at the ten states seen as toss ups right now, the poll averages (as tabulated by Real Clear Politics) are almost all trending in favor of the President (Electoral votes in parentheses):
Florida (29) - Obama +1.3%
Ohio (18) - Obama +4.2%
Michigan (16) - Obama +6.3%
North Carolina (15) - Romney +4.8%
Virginia (13) - Obama +0.3%
Wisconsin (10) - Obama +1.4%
Colorado (9) - Obama +3.0%
Nevada (6) - Obama +3.3%
Iowa (6) - Obama +0.2%
New Hampshire (4) - Obama +4.0%
Of those ten swing states, the poll averages are in the favor of Romney in only North Carolina, though he is very close in Florida, Virginia, Wisconsin and Iowa as well.
But winning those five would not be enough for Romney if current polling was to hold.
The electoral math is not impossible for Romney, but he certainly can't win by losing nine of the ten swing states in the 2012 Election.
Jamie Dupree is the Radio News Director of the Washington Bureau of the Cox Media Group and writes the Washington Insider blog.
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