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Kirk Mellish is Atlanta's first and only full-time radio meteorologist. He's also the FIRST broadcast meteorologist in Georgia and the Southeast to earn the American Meteorological Society's new Certified Broadcast Meteorologist (CBM) designation. Mellish is THE ONLY meteorologist in Atlanta to be certified by BOTH the AMS and the NWA, National Weather Association! Kirk has more than 30 years of experience in weather forecasting and has won dozens of awards for forecast accuracy and broadcasting excellence.
You can hear Kirk Mellish and his accurate and dependable weather forecast every six minutes mornings during Atlanta’s Morning News with Scott Slade. AND listen for his exclusive 5-day forecast every morning at :18 and :48 past each hour. Kirk is constantly updating his forecast. You can also hear his weather in the newscast on the hour and half hour as well as :25 and :55 past the hour during Boortz, Clark, Hannity, and Erick Erickson.
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It's that time of year again, now through September. The most difficult time of year to forecast the weather. Because the weather maps often don't change much day to day, yet the weather sometimes does.
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The past three summers have been particularly hot. If the upper level jet stream ridge this summer sets up far enough to the West and is sharp enough, then the down stream trough would be strong enough to bring Atlanta a more run of the mill summer temperature-wise, and allow for periodic episodes of widespread thunderstorms. But this is a big IF that does not currently seem in the cards. So the early thinking on this summer is warmer and drier than average in Georgia.
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It is a rare thing to have a frost or freeze after tax deadline day in Georgia. But the American GFS model keeps showing we may have lows in the mid 30s to low 40s early next week. If it occurs with light wind and clear sky that could mean a light frost. I am not predicting it YET. All early signs point to a weak El Nino and that points to a less active hurricane season.
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The temperature swings (cool and warm) over the next couple months look like they will balance out near-normal, rainfall also looks near-average to below-normal. Drought is expanding, increases odds of warmer than normal summer but as of now not expected to be as hot as last summer.
It's a bookend storm to a winter that saw a big record early snow in October; now a record snow in spring. A soaking rain will benefit the New England drought, but a wet snow falling on leafy trees with strong winds threaten power outages and tree damage in Pennsylvania ...
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Let me give my initial reaction to the testing of new tornado warning language. It's an experiment being conducted the rest of this tornado season in MO and KS.
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I have not changed my winter outlook. I still think Atlanta will average out near-normal to a little above normal in temperature and precipitation near-normal with the warmest and driest in South Georgia and wettest and coolest in North Georgia. But the NWS/NOAA has updated their view.
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Severe weather in November is hardly unprecedented in Atlanta. It looks like our thermometer roller coaster ride will continue into December.
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A new radar technology is coming to Atlanta's National Weather Service Doppler Radar.
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The sun has become more active than at any time since 2005 as witnessed by the Aurora seen as far south as Georgia at the end of October. Additional solar flares may be on the way from a new giant sunspot being monitored.