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Random storm season is here
It's that time of year again, now through September. The most difficult time of year to forecast the weather. Because the weather maps often don't change much day to day, yet the weather sometimes does.
Lake Lanier still below summer pool
A soggy Mother's Day lifts water levels at Lake Lanier to 1,065 feet, six feet below full summer pool. The Army Corps of Engineers has shifted into drought operations mode. Last week, the Apalachicola River-keeper appealed to the governors of Alabama, Georgia and Florida to meet in emergency session to ...
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Summer 2012 forecast
The past three summers have been particularly hot. If the upper level jet stream ridge this summer sets up far enough to the West and is sharp enough, then the down stream trough would be strong enough to bring Atlanta a more run of the mill summer temperature-wise, and allow for periodic episodes of widespread thunderstorms. But this is a big IF that does not currently seem in the cards. So the early thinking on this summer is warmer and drier than average in Georgia.
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Another frost? Early hurricane season outlook
It is a rare thing to have a frost or freeze after tax deadline day in Georgia. But the American GFS model keeps showing we may have lows in the mid 30s to low 40s early next week. If it occurs with light wind and clear sky that could mean a light frost. I am not predicting it YET. All early signs point to a weak El Nino and that points to a less active hurricane season.
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60-day weather outlook
The temperature swings (cool and warm) over the next couple months look like they will balance out near-normal, rainfall also looks near-average to below-normal. Drought is expanding, increases odds of warmer than normal summer but as of now not expected to be as hot as last summer.
Mellish: Nor'easter hammers NY, PA
It's a bookend storm to a winter that saw a big record early snow in October; now a record snow in spring. A soaking rain will benefit the New England drought, but a wet snow falling on leafy trees with strong winds threaten power outages and tree damage in Pennsylvania ...
Mellish's 5-Day Forecast
Today...Mostly cloudy with rain in the morning diminishing to a 30% chance late afternoon cooler. High 70 lows 52-56. Tomorrow...Mix of clouds and sun. High 76 lows 55-58. Friday...Partly cloudy with a 30% chance of an evening shower or thundershower. High 78 low 58. Weekend outlook...Mostly cloudy with a 50% ...
NOAA issues a rare severe weather advisory
The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's (NOAA) Storm Prediction Center has issued a rare high risk advisory for severe weather a day in advance, saying an area from Oklahoma City and Tulsa to Wichita, Kansas City and into Omaha may see large, violent, long-lasting tornadoes on Saturday Meteorologist Kirk Mellish ...
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Warning about tornado warnings
Let me give my initial reaction to the testing of new tornado warning language. It's an experiment being conducted the rest of this tornado season in MO and KS.
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Late frost or hot summer?
Late frost or hot summer? Birmingham NWS crunches some numbers. My summer forecast will be out by the end of May.
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